How To Create a Long Term Forecast
Using Composite
a) recommended financial
instruments: Forex and commodity
I choose Forex and commodity because they have
the largest continuous data. I don't know how one can effectively do this for
stocks which trade mostly 8hrs in a day, if a cycle you are following and its
effect is not known for the rest of 12-16hrs, how is the system going to give
you reliable forecast ?
b) recommended bar - 1 hour
If you choose EOD data, then you will be largely
using larger cycles and they will have margin of error in many days which is
good mainly for big institutional investors who look only at a very large trend
and give lots of room for things to play and to confirm. Also EOD data, you
have only 365 bars in a year so you need so much more
data compared to 24* 260 bars for a year for 1hr data. Continuous Intra-day
data helps to study the effect of full cycle much better. A retail trader like
me or Gabriella trading on a forecast using EOD is not suited or you should
have a very different trading plan and tolerance and your evaluation of
correctness of forecast should be if trend was right over few weeks or over
month, not that today I was expecting UP and it was DOWN.
Choosing astro cycles Variant #1
Step #1
Set Learning Border Cursor (LBC)
several months before the last price bar:
and run Composite module clicking the
button:
Step #2
Step #3
Set these parameters for autoselection:
Step #4
Step #5
Preview each cycle and delete not working/chaotic cycles. In
order to do that, highlight each cycle one by one and click this button:
�
The program will put this cycle
(Moon-Jupiter in our example) into Composite module, and you may view the
projection line based on this cycle in the Main screen:
To verify the importance of this astro cycle, you can use Forecast ability criterion
clicking �button. This criterion is explained in this
class: http://www.timingsolution.com/Doc/level_1/5.htm
Non important cycles should be
removed by clicking �-� button:
�
Choosing astro cycles Variant #2
You can also choose astro cycles another way:
Set LBC to the last price bar
clicking this button:
In autoselection
choose one of these options:
The program picks up the astro cycles with positive forecast ability. The first
option ��chooses the cycles that give positive
correlation within one period while �option employs more restricted criterion for
choosing astro cycles.
Optimizing astro cycles
Whatever way of cycles� selection
you prefer, when the selection is done, follow the steps below.
Step #6
Step #7
Step #8
Step #9
Step #10
Step #11
Step #12